Human Geography

Urbanization

Use this for “A country’s largest city has 8,400,000 people. How big should its third city be by the rank–size rule, and how does 2,100,000 compare?”

Chart

2,800,000P₁Largest cityPₙExpected sizeAₙActual size
8,400,000
2,100,000
This is an example. Type your own values to start a new problem.
Pₙ
=
P₁
÷
n
Aₙ
Actual size
example
R
Actual ÷ expected
calculated

Formulas

Pₙ
=
P₁
n
2,800,000
=
8,400,000
3
R
=
Aₙ
Pₙ
0.75
=
2,100,000
2,800,000

Assumptions

•
Rank–size rule: the city ranked n has about 1 ÷ n of the largest city’s people.
•
It fits many countries’ city systems; a primate city is far more than twice the second.
•
A ratio R near 1 fits the rule; below 1 the city is smaller than the rule expects.

Step-by-step

WE KNOW
P₁ = 8,400,000, n = 3, Aₙ = 2,100,000
FIND
expected size (Pₙ), actual ÷ expected (R)
Step 1 · Find expected size (Pₙ)
Use Pₙ = P₁ ÷ n
The rule shares out the largest city’s size by rank: the second has half, the third a third.
Pₙ
=
8,400,000
3
Pₙ = 2,800,000
Step 2 · Find actual ÷ expected (R)
Use R = Aₙ ÷ Pₙ
Compare the real city with the rule’s size: 1 means it fits exactly.
R
=
2,100,000
2,800,000
R
=
0.75
Check
Put the numbers back in. Both sides should match.
2,800,000
=
8,400,000
3
✓
0.75
=
2,100,000
2,800,000
✓
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